{"id":4545,"date":"2026-04-08T18:24:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T16:24:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4545"},"modified":"2026-04-08T18:24:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T16:24:56","slug":"australie-ocekava-se-kolaps-vyvozu-repky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4545","title":{"rendered":"Austr\u00e1lie: o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se kolaps v\u00fdvozu \u0159epky"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Leto\u0161n\u00ed produkce \u0159epky v Austr\u00e1lii je ohro\u017eena negativn\u00edmi d\u016fsledky kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Americk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 20% pokles sklizn\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dopady v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem na trhy s energi\u00ed a hnojivy ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159epky v Austr\u00e1lii. Kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm set\u00ed se ceny nafty zdvojn\u00e1sobily a dovoz nafty z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu do Austr\u00e1lie p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm. Cena dus\u00edkat\u00fdch hnojiv se tak\u00e9 v kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m obdob\u00ed zdvojn\u00e1sobila. Ozn\u00e1mil to americk\u00fd zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd ata\u0161\u00e9 v Canbe\u0159e. I kdy\u017e je st\u00e1le k dispozici dostate\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed hnojiv pro set\u00ed australsk\u00fdch ozim\u00fdch plodin (mezi kter\u00e9 pat\u0159\u00ed \u0159epka), existuje zna\u010dn\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b mno\u017estv\u00ed dostupn\u00e9ho b\u011bhem vegeta\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Americk\u00fd analytik poukazuje na mo\u017enost p\u0159esunu plodin: od plodin n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch na dus\u00edk, jako je \u0159epka, k m\u00e9n\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdm plodin\u00e1m, jako jsou lu\u0161t\u011bniny nebo je\u010dmen. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le bude v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem pokra\u010dovat se v\u0161emi d\u016fsledky pro trhy s energi\u00ed a hnojivy, t\u00edm v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed budou negativn\u00ed dopady na \u0159epku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Dopad vysok\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f na hnojiva na v\u00fdnos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pozorovatel\u00e9 trhu v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee set\u00ed \u0159epky v roce 2026 meziro\u010dn\u011b klesne o 6 procent na 3,5 milionu hektar\u016f. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy by m\u011bly klesnout o 13 procent, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br sn\u00ed\u017eil na necel\u00fdch 1,8 tuny semen na hektar (v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce: 2,07 tuny). V\u00fdsledn\u00fd objem sklizn\u011b se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 na \u00farovni 6,2 milionu tun (v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce: 7,7 milionu tun) \u2013 co\u017e je v\u00fdrazn\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 7 milion\u016f tun, kter\u00e9 odhadovalo australsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a lesnictv\u00ed (DAFF) na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem za\u010d\u00e1tkem b\u0159ezna. Americk\u00fd analytik odhaduje exportn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l Austr\u00e1lie pro sez\u00f3nu 2026\/27 na 4,7 milionu tun (v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce: 5,6 milionu tun), zat\u00edmco DAFF na za\u010d\u00e1tku b\u0159ezna odhadoval 5,1 milionu tun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00fdznamn\u00fd dodavatel do EU<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU v aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b 2025\/26 dosud nakoupila z Austr\u00e1lie p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1 milion tun \u0159epky. Austr\u00e1lie tak m\u00e1 28% pod\u00edl na celkov\u00e9m dovozu. Do konce sez\u00f3ny Austr\u00e1lie p\u0159edb\u011bhne Ukrajinu (v sou\u010dasnosti 1,4 milionu tun) jako nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zdroj dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 \u0159epky. V uplynul\u00fdch t\u0159ech hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch letech \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nakoupily z Austr\u00e1lie 2 a\u017e 3,7 milionu tun \u0159epky (pr\u016fm\u011br: 3 miliony tun). To odpov\u00eddalo pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu tr\u017en\u00edmu pod\u00edlu 44 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zdroj: agrarticker.de<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Leto\u0161n\u00ed produkce \u0159epky v Austr\u00e1lii je ohro\u017eena negativn\u00edmi d\u016fsledky kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Americk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 20% pokles sklizn\u011b. Dopady v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem na trhy s energi\u00ed a hnojivy ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159epky v Austr\u00e1lii. Kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm set\u00ed se ceny nafty zdvojn\u00e1sobily a dovoz nafty z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu do Austr\u00e1lie p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm. Cena dus\u00edkat\u00fdch […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"1080","footnotes":""},"categories":[69,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktualita","category-top"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4545","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4545"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4547,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4545\/revisions\/4547"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}