{"id":4698,"date":"2026-06-16T09:54:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T07:54:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4698"},"modified":"2026-06-16T09:54:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T07:54:15","slug":"repka-wasde-ocekava-se-rust-globalnich-zasob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4698","title":{"rendered":"\u0158epka WASDE: o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se r\u016fst glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1sob"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed (USDA) i nad\u00e1le p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 rekordn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed sklize\u0148 \u0159epky pro rok 2026\/27. Ohledn\u011b sklizn\u00ed od p\u0159edn\u00edch v\u00fdvozc\u016f panuje velk\u00fd optimismus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stejn\u011b jako v kv\u011btnu, i \u010dervnov\u00e1 progn\u00f3za USDA WASDE pro hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd rok 2026\/27 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sklize\u0148 \u0159epky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 95 milion\u016f tun. To by byl nov\u00fd rekord, kter\u00fd by p\u0159ekonal v\u00fdsledek z p\u0159edchoz\u00edho roku o dobr\u00fd 1 milion tun. Tento p\u0159edpoklad je zalo\u017een na velmi vysok\u00fdch progn\u00f3z\u00e1ch sklizn\u011b pro Kanadu, Austr\u00e1lii a Ukrajinu, kter\u00e9 se v n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech v\u00fdrazn\u011b odchyluj\u00ed od odhad\u016f koluj\u00edc\u00edch v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch \u2013 a sice sm\u011brem nahoru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(P\u0159\u00edli\u0161) vysok\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy pro Kanadu, Austr\u00e1lii a Ukrajinu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Americk\u00e1 agentura nap\u0159\u00edklad o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 sklize\u0148 pro Kanadu na stejn\u00e9 \u00farovni jako v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce, a to 22 milion\u016f tun. To je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 3 miliony tun v\u00edce, ne\u017e p\u0159edpov\u00eddal kanadsk\u00fd statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad (Statcan) na konci kv\u011btna. Ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed USA (USDA) si tak\u00e9 ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 svou progn\u00f3zu sklizn\u011b \u0159epky v Austr\u00e1lii na 6,8 milionu tun (p\u0159edchoz\u00ed rok: 7,8 milionu tun), co\u017e je beze zm\u011bny oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu m\u011bs\u00edci. Australsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed v\u0161ak svou progn\u00f3zu na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervna v\u00fdrazn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eilo na pouh\u00fdch 6,2 milionu tun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e1 sklize\u0148 4,4 milionu tun (p\u0159edchoz\u00ed rok: 3,5 milionu tun) pro Ukrajinu se tak\u00e9 jev\u00ed jako nadsazen\u00e1 vzhledem ke zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m o dopadu nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdch pov\u011btrnostn\u00edch podm\u00ednek b\u011bhem zimn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. To plat\u00ed zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee odhad plochy p\u016fdy USDA ve v\u00fd\u0161i 1,5 milionu hektar\u016f je o cel\u00fdch 36 procent vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e odhad Ukrajinsk\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 rady (UAC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"445\" src=\"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/24-26-1024x445.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4694\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Progn\u00f3za pro EU v souladu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed pro EU jsou m\u00e9n\u011b nejist\u00e1. 20,5 milionu tun p\u0159edpov\u011bzen\u00fdch v \u010dervnu se shoduje s progn\u00f3zami Evropsk\u00e9 komise a spole\u010dnosti Coceral, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed sklize\u0148 \u0159epky v EU v roce 2026 na 20,3 a\u017e 20,8 milionu tun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vzhledem k extr\u00e9mn\u011b pozitivn\u00edm o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm sklizn\u011b ze strany USDA nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed tr\u017en\u00ed analytici o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed v sez\u00f3n\u011b 2026\/27 n\u00e1r\u016fst glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1sob \u0159epky. Aby k tomu v\u0161ak do\u0161lo, je nejprve nutn\u00e9 z\u00edskat velk\u00e9 sklizn\u011b od p\u0159edn\u00edch v\u00fdvozc\u016f. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b o tom existuj\u00ed opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e9 pochybnosti. Pokud v\u0161ak bude po\u010das\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1t, situace by se v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch mohla dramaticky zm\u011bnit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zdroj: agrarticker<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed (USDA) i nad\u00e1le p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 rekordn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed sklize\u0148 \u0159epky pro rok 2026\/27. Ohledn\u011b sklizn\u00ed od p\u0159edn\u00edch v\u00fdvozc\u016f panuje velk\u00fd optimismus. Stejn\u011b jako v kv\u011btnu, i \u010dervnov\u00e1 progn\u00f3za USDA WASDE pro hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd rok 2026\/27 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sklize\u0148 \u0159epky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 95 milion\u016f tun. To by byl nov\u00fd rekord, kter\u00fd by p\u0159ekonal v\u00fdsledek z p\u0159edchoz\u00edho roku o [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"1080","footnotes":""},"categories":[69,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktualita","category-top"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4698","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4698"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4698\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4699,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4698\/revisions\/4699"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4698"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4698"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4698"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}