{"id":4741,"date":"2026-07-14T09:35:40","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T07:35:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4741"},"modified":"2026-07-14T09:35:41","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T07:35:41","slug":"sklizen-2026-rusko-uzavira-kercsky-pruliv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4741","title":{"rendered":"Sklize\u0148 2026: Rusko uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Ker\u010dsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem naru\u0161uje obchodn\u00ed toky. \u00cdr\u00e1n uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. \u0158epka nahrazuje prudce rostouc\u00ed ceny p\u0161enice.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ceny p\u0161enice na pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 burze Euronext v p\u00e1tek 10. \u010dervence 2026 prudce vzrostly o 9,50 USD na 214,40 EUR\/t s dod\u00e1vkou v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. To bylo m\u00e9n\u011b zp\u016fsobeno zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00edm \u010dervencov\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy WASDE ne\u017e ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00edm rusk\u00e9 infrastruktury Ukrajinou. V Chicagu vzrostl srpnov\u00fd kontrakt o 21,50 USD na 641 USD\/bu\u0161l (ekvivalent 206 EUR\/t).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Skute\u010dn\u00fdm d\u016fvodem cenov\u00fdch skok\u016f byly ni\u010div\u00e9 \u00fatoky Ukrajiny na ruskou infrastrukturu v p\u00e1tek 10. \u010dervence 2026. V\u00e1lka tak p\u0159\u00edmo ovliv\u0148uje obchodn\u00ed toky a naru\u0161uje trhy. Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed v\u00edkendem ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pou\u017eila drony ke zni\u010den\u00ed rusk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a lod\u00ed pobl\u00ed\u017e Azovsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a Ker\u010dsk\u00e9ho mostu. Ker\u010dsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv spojuje Azovsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e s \u010cern\u00fdm mo\u0159em. V reakci na to Rusko pozastavilo lodn\u00ed dopravu p\u0159es Ker\u010dsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 regiony Rostov a Krasnodar se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v Azovsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i a zhruba \u010dtvrtina rusk\u00e9ho exportu p\u0161enice se odbavuje p\u0159es jeho p\u0159\u00edstavy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"876\" height=\"670\" src=\"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/29-26.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4740\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kritick\u00e1 situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00datoky mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem se op\u011bt stup\u0148uj\u00ed. Cena ropy vzrostla na 78 dolar\u016f za barel. Vl\u00e1da v Teher\u00e1nu prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv z\u016fstane uzav\u0159en \u201edo odvol\u00e1n\u00ed a do ukon\u010den\u00ed americk\u00fdch intervenc\u00ed v tomto regionu\u201c. To op\u011bt naru\u0161ilo dod\u00e1vky ropy a plynu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ceny \u0159epky na Euronextu na tato ozn\u00e1men\u00ed ost\u0159e reaguj\u00ed. Obchodn\u00edci v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei tak\u00e9 zapo\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00ed Ker\u010dsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu. To by mohlo tak\u00e9 naru\u0161it dod\u00e1vky \u0159epky z Ukrajiny kv\u016fli rusk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy. Listopadov\u00fd kontrakt na \u0159epku na Euronextu v pond\u011bl\u00ed vzrostl o 12 % na 540 eur\/t. \u00da\u010dastn\u00edci trhu doporu\u010duj\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016fm, aby uzav\u00edrali smlouvy na sklize\u0148 obilovin i olejnin v roce 2026 za aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny a prod\u00e1vali jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e1 mno\u017estv\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rusko tak\u00e9 do\u010dasn\u011b pozastavilo p\u0159epravu p\u0159es Azovsko-donsk\u00fd mo\u0159sk\u00fd kan\u00e1l kv\u016fli ukrajinsk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm. Kan\u00e1l spojuje Azovsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e s d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm vnitrozemsk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstavem Rostov na Donu, kde se manipuluje s velk\u00fdm objemem obil\u00ed, uv\u00e1d\u00ed Kaak Futures Trading. Pokud se zastav\u00ed dod\u00e1vky p\u0161enice z Ruska na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod a do severn\u00ed Afriky, mohlo by to v\u00e9st k posun\u016fm v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch obchodn\u00edch toc\u00edch. V pond\u011bl\u00ed 13. \u010dervence 2026 do\u0161lo k m\u00edrn\u00e9mu uklidn\u011bn\u00ed trhu a pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e1 burza Euronext otev\u0159ela n\u00ed\u017ee pro z\u00e1\u0159ijovou p\u0161enici o 3,00 EUR na 213,25 EUR\/t. Chicago Mercantile Exchange tak\u00e9 otev\u0159ela v z\u00e1porn\u00e9m teritoriu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Naproti tomu ceny \u0159epky a s\u00f3ji na za\u010d\u00e1tku t\u00fddne prudce vzrostly. To by mohlo souviset s n\u00e1r\u016fstem cen ropy Brent o 1,52 USD na 77,87 USD za barel (159 litr\u016f). Srpnov\u00fd kontrakt na \u0159epku olejnou z nov\u00e9 sklizn\u011b se zlep\u0161il o 5,25 \u20ac na 521,75 EUR\/t. \u00da\u010dastn\u00edci trhu doporu\u010dili vyu\u017e\u00edt atraktivn\u00edch cen a prodat \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e1 mno\u017estv\u00ed. Cenov\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy \u0159epky olejn\u00e9 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b budou \u010dasto pohybovat kolem 30 a\u017e 40 EUR\/t v z\u00e1vislosti na tom, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry se podm\u00ednky na trz\u00edch v USA stanou nevyzpytateln\u00fdmi nebo se zm\u011bn\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed o p\u0159im\u00edch\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00f3jov\u00e9 boby otev\u0159ely v pond\u011bl\u00ed 13. \u010dervence 2026 v Chicagu v\u00fd\u0161e, o 8,50 na 1 205 americk\u00fdch cent\u016f\/bu\u0161l (ekvivalent 386 EUR\/t). Trh s kuku\u0159ic\u00ed mezit\u00edm sledoval volatiln\u00ed burzy s jistou skeps\u00ed. A\u010dkoli americk\u00e9 ministerstvo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed (USDA) ve sv\u00e9 \u010dervencov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b WASDE op\u011bt sn\u00ed\u017eilo kone\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby kuku\u0159ice, ceny kuku\u0159ice v pond\u011bl\u00ed 13. \u010dervence 2026 v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei klesly o 1,25 na 236,50 EUR\/t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zdroj: agrarticker<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem naru\u0161uje obchodn\u00ed toky. \u00cdr\u00e1n uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv. \u0158epka nahrazuje prudce rostouc\u00ed ceny p\u0161enice. Ceny p\u0161enice na pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 burze Euronext v p\u00e1tek 10. \u010dervence 2026 prudce vzrostly o 9,50 USD na 214,40 EUR\/t s dod\u00e1vkou v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. To bylo m\u00e9n\u011b zp\u016fsobeno zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00edm \u010dervencov\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy WASDE ne\u017e ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00edm rusk\u00e9 infrastruktury Ukrajinou. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"1080","footnotes":""},"categories":[69,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktualita","category-top"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4741"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4741\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4742,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4741\/revisions\/4742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}