{"id":4874,"date":"2026-09-01T13:51:01","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T11:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4874"},"modified":"2026-09-01T13:51:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T11:51:03","slug":"globalni-emise-oxidu-uhliciteho-uz-mozna-klesaji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/?p=4874","title":{"rendered":"Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho u\u017e (mo\u017en\u00e1) klesaj\u00ed\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho z fosiln\u00edch paliv a v\u00fdroby cementu m\u011bly podle progn\u00f3z z konce roku 2025 v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce stoupnout o 1,1 % a dos\u00e1hnout rekordn\u00edch 38,1 miliard tun oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho. Ve h\u0159e je ale mo\u017enost, \u017ee celkov\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed emis\u00ed oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho u\u017e o n\u011bco m\u00e1lo kleslo. O tom se krom\u011b jin\u00e9ho rozhodovalo na front\u011b, kde b\u011b\u017e\u00ed boj o odles\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed a hospoda\u0159en\u00ed se zem\u011bd\u011blskou p\u016fdou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u011bt\u0161ina odborn\u00edk\u016f se ale zdr\u00e1h\u00e1 pokles emis\u00ed oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho p\u0159ipustit a d\u00e1l po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed s jejich kulminac\u00ed a\u017e n\u011bkdy kolem roku 2030. Jedn\u00edm dechem dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee za deset let od slavn\u00e9 konference v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei, jej\u00ed\u017e \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci se shodli, \u017ee se na Zemi neotepl\u00ed o v\u00edc ne\u017e o 1,5 \u00b0C, se ro\u010dn\u00ed emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho zvedly o desetinu. Spln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1vazku z Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee se zd\u00e1 stejn\u011b re\u00e1ln\u00e9, jako kdybychom se cht\u011bli kousnout do vlastn\u00edho lokte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evropa emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho z fosiln\u00edch paliv a v\u00fdroby cementu o n\u011bco sni\u017euje od 90. let a Severn\u00ed Amerika j\u00ed v tom sekunduje zhruba od roku 2010. Nen\u00ed to nic z\u00e1vratn\u00e9ho. Z\u00e1vratn\u00fd je ale n\u00e1r\u016fst emis\u00ed ze stejn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f v Asii, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1sluhou \u010c\u00edny a Indie. \u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 na sv\u011bdom\u00ed t\u0159etinu sv\u011btov\u00fdch emis\u00ed. Hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1sluhu na tom maj\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 uheln\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, kter\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u011b spolknou 2,3 miliardy tun uhl\u00ed. To platilo doned\u00e1vna. Situace v \u010c\u00edn\u011b se ale rychle m\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u010c\u00edna se st\u00e1v\u00e1 velmoc\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo 1 v produkci energie z obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. Produkuje elektromobily, vyr\u00e1b\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed pro slune\u010dn\u00ed a v\u011btrn\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny a tak\u00e9 je ve st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e sama vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1. Do roku 2035 by m\u011bla klesnout v \u010c\u00edn\u011b produkce v\u0161ech sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f o 7 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Graf: Emise CO2 v \u010c\u00edn\u011b ji\u017e 18 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f stagnuj\u00ed nebo klesaj\u00ed, po\u010d\u00ednaje b\u0159eznem 2024. Tento trend pokra\u010doval i ve t\u0159et\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2025. Kredit:\u00a0<\/strong>CarbonBrief 2025<\/strong><\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rozhodne \u010c\u00edna?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odborn\u00edci p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee a\u017e budou kulminovat emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho v \u010c\u00edn\u011b, dojde k jejich kulminaci i v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku. Takov\u00fd je vliv \u010c\u00edny na bilanci sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f. Je docela re\u00e1ln\u00e9, \u017ee k tomu ji\u017e do\u0161lo. A to dokonce u\u017e v roce 2024. V lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce klesly \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 emise mo\u017en\u00e1 o 1,2 %. Za hlavn\u00ed faktor pova\u017euj\u00ed experti pokles popt\u00e1vky po cementu a oceli. V kombinaci s nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed produkc\u00ed energie z obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f v tom odborn\u00edci vid\u00ed z\u00e1ruku, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd pokles emis\u00ed oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho nep\u0159edstavuje pouh\u00fd v\u00fdkyv, ale setrval\u00fd trend. Nejasn\u00fd je ale v \u010c\u00edn\u011b v\u00fdvoj emis\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kulminace \u010di dokonce pokles emis\u00ed oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho samoz\u0159ejm\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee se stabilizuje hladina oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho v zemsk\u00e9 atmosf\u00e9\u0159e. Ta i nad\u00e1le poroste, i kdy\u017e ne takov\u00fdm tempem. Dohoda z Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s nulovou bilanc\u00ed emis\u00ed do p\u016flky 21. stolet\u00ed. To se zcela jist\u011b nepoda\u0159\u00ed. P\u0159edstavy o tom, \u017ee to do\u017eeneme odeb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f z atmosf\u00e9ry v druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 21. stolet\u00ed, vypadaj\u00ed sice hezky, ale ukazuj\u00ed se po technick\u00e9 str\u00e1nce jako notn\u011b komplikovan\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zachr\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1s zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed odborn\u00edci proto v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1s spas\u00ed zales\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed a zm\u011bna hospoda\u0159en\u00ed v zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed. To by se m\u011blo jako m\u00e1vnut\u00edm \u010darovn\u00e9ho proutku prom\u011bnit z prokl\u00ednan\u00e9ho producenta sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f na jejich v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho \u201ehltouna\u201c a likvid\u00e1tora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je ale ot\u00e1zka, na co zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed \u201ep\u0159estavovat\u201c. Na to, aby polykalo co nejv\u00edce sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f? Nebo na to, aby n\u00e1s v nezadr\u017eiteln\u011b se oh\u0159\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b je\u0161t\u011b u\u017eivilo? Na\u0161e plodiny jsou primadony \u0161lecht\u011bn\u00e9 tis\u00edcilet\u00ed na klima, kter\u00e9 p\u0159i sv\u00fdch v\u00fdkyvech generovalo sp\u00ed\u0161e mal\u00e9 doby ledov\u00e9. Na teplej\u0161\u00ed, su\u0161\u0161\u00ed klima se v\u0161\u00edm, co k tomu pat\u0159\u00ed, jsou h\u00e1kliv\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00fd\u010det civilizac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se zhroutily v d\u016fsledku sucha a ne\u00farody, je nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b dlouh\u00fd. Vy\u0161lecht\u011bn\u00ed odr\u016fd odoln\u00fdch k t\u011bmto negativn\u00edm vliv\u016fm se nestihne za t\u0159i nebo p\u011bt let. Dokonce ani s nasazen\u00edm metod genov\u00e9ho in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed, je\u017e Evropa zat\u00edm dost zatvrzele odm\u00edt\u00e1. Ale mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e na tom pracuje \u010c\u00edna. Kdo v\u00ed?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zdroj: Jaroslav Petr, OSEL.CZ<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prameny: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cabon Brief: China\u2019s CO2 emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months. https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-have-now-been-flat-or-falling-for-18-months\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drysdale, R., Zanchetta, G., Hellstrom, J., Maas, R., Fallick, A., Pickett, M., … & Piccini, L. (2006). Late Holocene drought responsible for the collapse of Old World civilizations is recorded in an Italian cave flowstone. Geology<\/em>, 34<\/em>(2), 101-104.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Global Carbon Project: Fossil fuel CO2<\/sub> emissions hit record high in 2025. https:\/\/globalcarbonbudget.org\/fossil-fuel-co2-emissions-hit-record-high-in-2025\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tollefson J.: Global greenhouse-gas emissions are still rising: when will they peak? Nature, 647, 831-832.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Emise oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho z fosiln\u00edch paliv a v\u00fdroby cementu m\u011bly podle progn\u00f3z z konce roku 2025 v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce stoupnout o 1,1 % a dos\u00e1hnout rekordn\u00edch 38,1 miliard tun oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho. Ve h\u0159e je ale mo\u017enost, \u017ee celkov\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed emis\u00ed oxidu uhli\u010dit\u00e9ho u\u017e o n\u011bco m\u00e1lo kleslo. O tom se krom\u011b jin\u00e9ho rozhodovalo na front\u011b, kde b\u011b\u017e\u00ed boj […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"1080","footnotes":""},"categories":[69,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktualita","category-top"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4874"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4874\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4876,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4874\/revisions\/4876"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spzo.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}